Commvault Systems Inc. Common Stock (CVLT)

Turnaround

FairStock Score: 44/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

Current Price$169.37
Market Cap$7.0B
P/E Ratio108.57
ROE32.77%
Dividend Yield—%
SectorTechnology

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

Commvault sells cyber resiliency software for enterprises. In fiscal 2026, the year ended 2026-03-31, revenue was $1.2B and net income $70.7M, or $1.58 per diluted share. Revenue rose from $995.6M in fiscal 2025, but net income fell from $76.1M and EPS from $1.68. In the latest filed quarter, fiscal Q1 2027 ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $314.1M and net income $21.1M, or $0.50 per diluted share; revenue was higher than the $282.0M in fiscal Q1 2026, while net income and EPS were lower than $23.5M and $0.52. So top-line growth is not flowing cleanly to the bottom line. Free cash flow is $258.4M, a 3.9% FCF yield, respectable but not generous. The balance sheet has D/E of 17.63, and Piotroski is 8/9, but Altman Z is 1.69 and ROCE is only 4.57%. ROE is 32.77%, but P/B of 126.07 makes book value almost meaningless as a valuation anchor. At the 2026-10-13 close of $158.85, FairStock’s P/E is 101.83, EV/EBITDA is 57.56, and Graham Number is $6.65; the margin of safety is deeply negative. The screen calls it a turnaround, citing a return to profit after a loss within the last three years, but the price already assumes a lot. I want a margin of safety, and here I see a good niche and cash generation married to a very demanding valuation and uneven profits.

In plain English: Commvault sells software that helps companies back up, protect, and recover their data. The business is growing sales and produces cash, but profits have slipped and the shares look expensive compared with those profits and the company’s accounting value. It does not look like a low-price bargain based on the numbers shown.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q1 2027 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q3 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-12-31) · fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2026 10-K (period ended 2026-03-31) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-03-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-03-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer