Collective Mining Ltd. Common Shares (CNL)

FairStock Score: 14/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

At the close on 2026-10-13, Collective Mining trades at $11.58 with a $1.9 billion market cap. This is an exploration story in Colombia, focused on Guayabales and gold, silver, copper, and tungsten. As a Graham-style investor, I want evidence of durable earning power. Here the supplied data show no revenue-growth figure and no assigned Lynch category because the company has only 0 years of filed annual results, while three are needed. FairStock’s calculation puts the P/E at -18.68 and P/B at 9.26. That is not a cheap asset on book value, and the negative P/E simply confirms losses rather than value. Return metrics are poor: ROE -60.81% and ROCE -28.17%, both FairStock calculations. Trailing free cash flow is -$61.4 million, a negative 3.2% FCF yield, so the company consumes capital. The Piotroski F-Score is 0/9, an uncommonly weak score, though the Altman Z-Score of 21.19 and debt-to-equity of 0.03 indicate the immediate risk is not leverage. A moat is nearly impossible to identify: this is a pre-production mineral explorer, not a low-cost producer with pricing power. Growth depends on drilling results and development milestones, not on recurring revenue. The 52-week range of $9.77 to $21.97 shows how sentiment swings. My conclusion is that this is a speculative resource option, not a Buffett-style compounding machine. The price may embed high expectations for Guayabales, but the reported financials show cash burn, no profitable track record, and a valuation that already assumes a lot.

In plain English: Collective Mining explores for gold, silver, copper and tungsten in Colombia, mainly at its Guayabales project. The business looks weak today: it loses money and burns cash, and its financial-strength scores are very low. At the 2026-10-13 price of $11.58, the shares look expensive relative to the company’s asset value, not cheap.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer