Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. Common Stock (CNK)

FairStock Score: 28/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look for businesses that can earn high returns on tangible capital and do not need constant debt. Cinemark is a theatrical exhibitor, a cyclical, capital-intensive business with limited pricing power and content risk. The numbers are mixed. In fiscal 2025, revenue was $3.1B, net income $138.2M, and diluted EPS $1.04. That was down from fiscal 2024 net income of $309.7M and EPS $2.06, though above fiscal 2023’s $188.2M and $1.34. Fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-31, lost $6.4M, or $0.06 per share, better than the fiscal Q1 2025 loss of $38.9M, or $0.32 per share. The dataset labels it a TURNAROUND: returned to profit after a loss within the last three years. Financial health is the rub. FairStock calculations at the 2026-10-13 close show a P/E of 21.20, P/B of 8.78, ROCE of 5.97%, and D/E of 5.88. The Altman Z-Score of 1.03 suggests distress risk, while the Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 is bright. The Graham Number is $13.13, so the $37.94 price carries a negative margin of safety of -188.96%. Free cash flow was $313.0M TTM, a 7.2% FCF yield, and EV/EBITDA of 11.16 is not outrageous. ROE of 45.82% looks high, but leverage flatters it. I would want a wider margin of safety before calling this a classic value opportunity. The business can be a decent turnaround if the film slate and Latin American operations deliver, but debt and cyclicality make the downside real. Price is fair-to-full, not Graham-cheap.

In plain English: Cinemark runs movie theaters in the United States and Latin America. The business swings with the movie slate: it lost money in the first quarter of 2026 but was profitable in fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2024. At the recent price of $37.94, the shares look expensive compared with the company’s earnings and net assets, even though the theaters produce meaningful cash.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-03-31) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer