Core Molding Technologies Inc Common Stock (CMT)

Cyclical

FairStock Score: 62/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

Current Price$23.13
Market Cap$205M
P/E Ratio27.54
ROE4.67%
Dividend Yield—%
SectorBasic Materials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

Core Molding Technologies is a cyclical molder of thermoplastic and thermoset structural products, serving vehicle and industrial customers. It is not a tollbooth business: customers can pressure pricing, and the numbers show the cycle biting. Revenue fell from $357.7M in FY2023 to $302.4M in FY2024 to $273.8M in FY2025. Net income dropped from $20.3M to $13.3M to $11.2M over those same fiscal years. The latest quarters are only modestly profitable: in fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $62.7M, net income $1.8M, and diluted EPS $0.21; in fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-31, revenue was $58.6M, net income $605,000, and diluted EPS $0.07. The balance sheet is a relative bright spot, with debt-to-equity of 0.09 and an Altman Z-score of 3.38, but returns are weak: ROE 4.67%, ROCE 3.30%, and trailing free cash flow is negative $8.3M, a -4.0% FCF yield. At the 2026-10-13 close of $23.69, FairStock calculations show a P/E of 28.20, P/B of 1.22, EV/EBITDA of 9.62, and a Graham Number of $18.85. That price is about 26% above the Graham Number, offering no margin of safety. Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 is encouraging, but the core issue is whether margins and cash generation recover. As a cyclical, it can improve if demand returns, but I want proof before paying a premium for shrinking profits.

In plain English: Core Molding Technologies makes molded plastic and composite parts. Sales and profits have fallen over the past few years, and the company is not generating cash after investments, so the business looks weak right now. At $23.69, the stock looks expensive compared with its recent earnings and net assets, and it pays no dividend.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q4 2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-K (period ended 2025-09-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer