Centerra Gold Inc. Common Shares (CGAU)

FairStock Score: 92/100 — HIGH CONVICTION

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look for businesses that earn high returns on capital without heavy debt, and Centerra shows some of that. At the 2026-10-13 close of $21.87, the market values it at $3.8 billion. FairStock's calculations give a P/E of 6.99, P/B of 1.98, ROE of 32.88%, ROCE of 16.76%, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, revenue was $442.7 million and net income was $72.1 million, a 16.29% net margin. That is a profitable miner, not a promotional story. The Graham Number is $27.90, so the price carries a 21.61% margin of safety. EV/EBITDA is 3.33, which is undemanding. But gold and copper are commodities. Centerra has little pricing power; its edge is low-cost assets and balance-sheet strength, not a wide moat. Trailing-twelve-month free cash flow was only $93.5 million, a 2.5% FCF yield, and the dividend yield is 0.87%. The Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and FairStock's Lynch category is none because only zero years of filed results are available, with three needed. The Altman Z-Score of 3.62 says insolvency risk looks low. Growth is hard to judge from the provided record, and profit conversion has been less impressive than revenue. At about seven times earnings and below Graham's conservative value, the price looks cheap, but commodity and country risks argue for a wider discount.

In plain English: Centerra Gold is a mining company that produces gold and copper, mainly from mines in Canada and Turkey, and also runs a molybdenum business. The business looks strong on profits and carries very little debt, but it does not generate a lot of spare cash relative to its size and depends heavily on metal prices. At the recent price, the shares look reasonably cheap to fair based on the given numbers, not clearly expensive.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer