Bloomin' Brands Inc. Common Stock (BLMN)

FairStock Score: 45/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

Bloomin' Brands owns Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's, Bonefish Grill and Fleming's, so it has recognizable restaurant names. But casual dining is competitive and cyclical, with limited pricing power. In fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-28, revenue was $1.0B, net income $31.3M and diluted EPS $0.36. That beat fiscal Q2 2025, the quarter ended 2025-06-29, when net income was $25.4M and diluted EPS $0.30. Fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-29, was stronger, with net income of $55.7M and diluted EPS of $0.65. Yet fiscal Q3 2025, the quarter ended 2025-09-28, lost $45.9M, and fiscal 2025, the year ended 2025-12-28, earned only $8.2M after fiscal 2024, the year ended 2024-12-29, lost $128.0M. The turnaround is real but fragile. The balance sheet worries me: debt-to-equity is 4.42 and the Altman Z-Score is -0.06. Returns are weak: ROE 8.07% and ROCE 2.57%; the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. On the positive side, trailing free cash flow is $155.0M, a 19.7% FCF yield on a $788.6M market cap, and the dividend yield is 5.63%. At the close on 2026-10-13, the price was $9.21. FairStock calculations show P/E 28.78, P/B 1.83, EV/EBITDA 11.50 and PEG 1.23. The Graham Number is $6.02, so the stock trades about 53% above it. I see a cash-generative but leveraged turnaround, with the price already reflecting some recovery.

In plain English: Bloomin' Brands runs restaurant chains like Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's, Bonefish Grill and Fleming's. The company makes only a modest profit and uses a lot of borrowed money, but it produces a lot of cash and pays a high dividend. At $9.21 on 2026-10-13, the stock looks expensive compared with its reported earnings and accounting value.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-28) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-29) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-28) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-29) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-28) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-29) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer