B&G Foods Inc. Common Stock (BGS)

FairStock Score: 60/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

Strengths

• Generates $193 million in annual free cash flow (45.4% yield on market cap)
• Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating robust financial health across profitability, leverage, and efficiency metrics
• Attractive 8.9% dividend yield providing steady income returns

Concerns

• High leverage at 5.10x debt-to-equity increases financial risk and interest expense burden
• Currently unprofitable—sustained losses could lead to dilutive capital raises or balance sheet deterioration
• Revenue declining at 2.2% year-over-year signals potential demand weakness or market share loss
• Altman Z-Score of 0.8 places it in the financial distress zone—elevated bankruptcy risk

AI Analysis

B&G Foods Inc. Common Stock is a micro-cap consumer defensive company valued at $426 million. Revenue stands at $1.8 billion, though the company is currently unprofitable. From a quality standpoint, B&G shows solid Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and distressed Altman Z-Score of 0.8 warrants caution. On valuation, the stock is strong 20.6% free cash flow yield. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at -2.2% and profit growth of 93.2%. The 8.9% dividend yield adds an income component for patient holders. Our composite FairStock Score of 60/100 reflects above-average fundamentals overall. Without profitability, this remains speculative—suitable only for those with high risk tolerance and a long time horizon.

Bull Case

Improving fundamentals and sector tailwinds could drive meaningful earnings growth, compressing the effective multiple for patient investors. With $193 million in annual free cash flow (45.4% yield), management has ample capital for buybacks, dividends, or accretive acquisitions.

Bear Case

Without a clear path to profitability, continued cash burn forces either dilutive equity raises or debt accumulation that destroys shareholder value. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer