Ball Corporation (BALL)

FairStock Score: 57/100 — STEADY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I approach Ball as a steady packaging company, not a glamorous compounder. It makes aluminum beverage cans and containers, a necessary product with scale and customer relationships, but it is capital-intensive and exposed to metal costs and cyclical demand. The filed numbers show a mixed picture: in fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $4.0B, net income $223.0M, and diluted EPS $0.83, versus revenue $3.3B, net income $215.0M, and diluted EPS $0.76 in fiscal Q2 2025. Revenue grew, but profit grew modestly. Annual profits have been erratic: fiscal 2024 net income was $4.0B and diluted EPS $13.00, while fiscal 2025 was $915.0M and $3.30. FairStock’s computed P/E is 18.47 and P/B is 2.97 at the $64.45 close on 2026-10-26; ROE is 17.15%, but ROCE is only 4.63% and debt/equity is 1.31. The Piotroski score of 7/9 is decent, though Altman Z of 1.87 signals some financial caution. Free cash flow is $827.0M, a 4.8% FCF yield, and EV/EBITDA is 11.22. The Graham Number is $41.30, so the price carries a -56.80% margin of safety, meaning it is well above that conservative value anchor. FairStock calls it a stalwart based on steady five-year growth, but the reported profit history is too uneven for me to pay a premium. Quality is respectable; the price looks full.

In plain English: Ball makes aluminum cans and containers for drinks and other products. The business earns a good return on shareholders' money and generates cash, but it uses a lot of debt and its yearly profits have jumped around. At $64.45, the stock looks expensive compared with its earnings and assets rather than cheap.

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Data as of 2026-10-26 close · note generated 2026-10-28 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer