Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. Common Shares (AXTA)

Cyclical

FairStock Score: 46/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

Current Price$34.14
Market Cap$7.3B
P/E Ratio20.94
ROE14.34%
Dividend Yield—%
SectorBasic Materials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

At the 2026-10-13 close, Axalta traded at $33.53. FairStock’s calculations put the P/E at 20.57 and P/B at 2.84, with a Graham Number of $20.79—a margin of safety of -61.28%. That tells me the market is not offering a Graham-style discount. The business itself is a global specialty coatings maker; in fiscal FY2025, the year ended 2025-12-31, it reported revenue of $5.1B, net income of $378.0M, and diluted EPS of $1.74. In fiscal FY2024, net income was $391.0M and diluted EPS $1.78. So earnings slipped, consistent with the provided profit growth of -18.35%. In the quarter ended 2026-03-31, net income was $90.0M and diluted EPS $0.42, still below the $110.0M and $0.51 in the quarter ended 2025-09-30. The coatings business has some switching costs and regulatory barriers, but it is cyclical and capital-intensive; FairStock classifies it as CYCLICAL — Specialty Chemicals. FairStock’s ROCE of 6.12% is modest, and D/E of 1.19 with an Altman Z-Score of 1.65 suggests the balance sheet needs watching. On the positive side, trailing free cash flow is $495.0M, a 6.9% FCF yield, and ROE is 14.34%. Piotroski is 6/9, acceptable but not a fortress. EV/EBITDA of 9.83 is not outrageous, yet the Graham lens says the price already reflects much of the good news. I would want evidence that profit growth has turned, returns on capital are rising, and debt is coming down before calling this a compelling value.

In plain English: Axalta makes and sells high-performance coatings and paints, mainly for vehicle repair and industrial uses. The business generates solid cash, but sales have been roughly flat and profits have slipped recently, and it carries a meaningful amount of debt. At the recent price of $33.53, the stock looks full or expensive compared with its earnings and accounting value, not a clear bargain.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-03-31) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer