Aris Mining Corporation Common Shares (ARIS)

FairStock Score: 54/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

Strengths

• Generates $119 million in annual free cash flow (3.1% yield on market cap)
• Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating robust financial health across profitability, leverage, and efficiency metrics
• Conservative balance sheet with debt-to-equity of just 0.36, providing financial flexibility
• Revenue growth of 104.2% demonstrates strong top-line momentum

Concerns

• Trades significantly above Graham Number ($8) with negative 134% margin of safety—limited downside protection

AI Analysis

Aris Mining Corporation Common Shares is a small-cap basic materials company valued at $3.9 billion. Revenue stands at $928 million. From a quality standpoint, Aris shows solid Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and Altman Z-Score of 2.5 in the grey zone. On valuation, the stock is commanding a steep 45.8x multiple, with trades far above its Graham Number ($8) with no margin of safety. Growth dynamics show revenue growing at 104.2% and profit growth of 134.5%. Our composite FairStock Score of 54/100 reflects mixed fundamentals overall. Investors should weigh the business quality against the current price and their own margin of safety requirements.

Bull Case

Aris's 104% revenue growth trajectory could accelerate as it captures additional market share in the basic materials sector. With $119 million in annual free cash flow (3.1% yield), management has ample capital for buybacks, dividends, or accretive acquisitions.

Bear Case

At 46x earnings, any growth disappointment triggers rapid multiple compression—a 20% earnings miss plus multiple contraction to 20x implies 40%+ downside. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer