Arrive AI Inc. Common Stock (ARAI)

FairStock Score: 10/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I approach a company like Arrive AI with Graham's first question: what is here that I can value with confidence? The company designs smart mailboxes and locker networks for drones, robots, retailers, and delivery providers. That is a difficult, capital-intensive vision, and the filed numbers show almost no commercial traction. In fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was just $14,700 while net loss was $14.1 million, or diluted EPS of -$0.28. In fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-31, revenue was $14,925 and net loss was $6.4 million. For FY2025, the year ended 2025-12-31, revenue was $113,250 and net loss was $12.8 million. FY2024, the year ended 2024-12-31, reported no revenue and a $4.5 million net loss. At the 2026-10-13 close, FairStock calculated a negative P/E of -0.21, P/B of 1.60, and FCF yield of -155.3%; its other calculations include ROE of -672.29%, ROCE of -81.65%, revenue growth of -83.80%, and profit growth of -281.57%. The Piotroski score is 4/9 and Altman Z-score is -6.16, both pointing to weak financial condition. Debt-to-equity is 1.15, and trailing free cash flow is -$11.6 million. A moat? I see no evidence of pricing power, recurring revenue, or scale; with 50 employees and a $7.5 million market cap, this is an early-stage promise, not a proven business. The stock has fallen from a 52-week high of $6.70 to $0.14, but a low price is not the same as value. Without a path to profits and cash generation, the margin of safety is absent. FairStock Score is 10/100. The Lynch category is none because only two years of filed results exist, another sign of immaturity.

In plain English: Arrive AI is a small technology company trying to build smart mailboxes and locker networks for drones, robots, and delivery companies. The business looks weak today: it earns very little revenue and loses far more money than it brings in, while sales have been shrinking and cash is going out fast. At $0.14 per share, the price is far below its 52-week high, but it does not look cheap against the company's tiny sales and large losses; it looks like a very speculative, money-losing story.

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Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer