Air T Inc. Air T Funding Alpha Income Trust Preferred Securities (AIRTP)

Turnaround

FairStock Score: 12/100 — RISKY

Key Financials

Current Price$18.70
Market Cap$469M
P/E Ratio55.01
ROE157.43%
Dividend Yield10.58%
SectorIndustrials

AI Analysis

AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.

I look for a durable business bought at a discount. Air T is not that today. It operates in aviation services—overnight cargo, ground support equipment, parts, and regional airlines. Its FedEx dry-lease relationship, with 103 aircraft as of March 31, 2026, offers some recurring revenue, but this is a capital-intensive, cyclical industry with little pricing power. The filed numbers show violent swings: in fiscal 2024, ended 2024-03-31, Air T lost $6.8M; in fiscal 2025, ended 2025-03-31, it lost $6.1M; then in fiscal 2026, ended 2026-03-31, it earned $78.0M on $327.1M of revenue. That profit surge earned the Lynch turnaround label, but it did not persist: in fiscal Q1 2027, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $115.5M yet net income was -$15.8M and diluted EPS was -$5.86. Financial health is poor. Trailing free cash flow is -$64.4M, a -13.7% FCF yield; debt-to-equity is 3.18; ROCE is -5.54%; Altman Z is 1.20; Piotroski is 3/9. The 10.58% preferred yield looks generous, but it must be covered by a business with negative free cash flow and high leverage. At the 2026-10-13 close of $18.80, FairStock calculations show P/B of 0.78, but P/E of 55.29, Graham Number of $13.61, and a -38.13% margin of safety. Beta 0.28 is low, but that is not safety when cash flow is negative.

In plain English: Air T runs overnight cargo flights, aircraft equipment, and aviation services. The business has swung between losses and a large profit, and the latest quarter was a loss. The preferred stock offers a high income yield, but the price does not look cheap compared with the company's earnings and financial safety.

The full AI analysis, bull and bear case and key monitorables are in FairStock Pro.

Data as of 2026-10-13 close · note generated 2026-10-15 · model deepseek-flash

Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q1 2027 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q3 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-12-31) · fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2026 10-K (period ended 2026-03-31) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-03-31) · FY2024 10-K/A (period ended 2024-03-31)

Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer