Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares (AGCC)

FairStock Score: 36/100 — MIXED

Key Financials

Strengths

• Generates $8 million in annual free cash flow (1.7% yield on market cap)
• Solid return on equity of 10.4% above cost of capital
• Conservative balance sheet with debt-to-equity of just 0.02, providing financial flexibility
• Altman Z-Score of 91.6 confirms minimal bankruptcy risk and strong solvency

Concerns

• Trades significantly above Graham Number ($0) with negative 6210% margin of safety—limited downside protection
• Weak Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 suggests deteriorating financial quality across multiple dimensions

AI Analysis

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares is a micro-cap consumer defensive company valued at $489 million. Revenue stands at $6 million. From a quality standpoint, Agencia shows weak Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signaling deteriorating fundamentals and Altman Z-Score of 91.6 confirms fortress-level solvency. On valuation, the stock is commanding a steep 458.5x multiple, with trades far above its Graham Number ($0) with no margin of safety. Our composite FairStock Score of 36/100 reflects below-average fundamentals overall. Investors should weigh the business quality against the current price and their own margin of safety requirements.

Bull Case

Improving fundamentals and sector tailwinds could drive meaningful earnings growth, compressing the effective multiple for patient investors. With $8 million in annual free cash flow (1.7% yield), management has ample capital for buybacks, dividends, or accretive acquisitions.

Bear Case

At 459x earnings, any growth disappointment triggers rapid multiple compression—a 20% earnings miss plus multiple contraction to 20x implies 40%+ downside. Regulatory changes, input cost inflation, or demand normalization represent underappreciated risks that could materially impact forward estimates.

Data from SEC filings. AI analysis is for educational purposes only — not investment advice. Scoring methodology · Disclaimer