Abacus Global Management Inc. 9.875% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 2028 (ABXL)
TurnaroundKey Financials
| Current Price | $25.43 |
| Market Cap | $2.5B |
| P/E Ratio | — |
| ROE | —% |
| Dividend Yield | —% |
| Sector | Financial Services |
AI Analysis
AI-generated, general educational analysis — not personal investment advice.
I approach ABXL as a creditor first, not an equity owner. The issuer is in financial services, and the security is a 9.875% fixed-rate senior note due 2028, priced at $25.22 at the 2026-10-16 close. The filed record shows a genuine turnaround: FY2024 revenue was $111.9M and net income was -$24.0M; FY2025 revenue was $235.2M and net income was $36.5M. In fiscal Q1 2026, the quarter ended 2026-03-31, revenue was $59.4M and net income $7.3M; in fiscal Q2 2026, the quarter ended 2026-06-30, revenue was $73.0M and net income $6.6M. So revenue is growing, but earnings are uneven: fiscal Q2 2026 net income of $6.6M compares with $17.6M in fiscal Q2 2025, even though revenue rose from $56.2M to $73.0M. FairStock calls this a TURNAROUND because it returned to profit after a loss within three years. That label fits the figures. The moat is not visible from revenue and net income alone; financial-services issuers can be cyclical and leverage-sensitive. Financial health is the missing piece: I have no balance sheet, interest-coverage, cash-flow, or covenant data here, and P/E, P/B, ROE and ROCE are not available. The price sits near the high end of its 52-week range of $24.92-$26.48, so the high coupon appears to compensate for credit risk rather than offer a bargain. I would want evidence that the turnaround is durable and that the 2028 notes can be serviced comfortably.
In plain English: Abacus Global Management is a financial services company. The security analyzed is a bond-like senior note that pays 9.875% and matures in 2028. The issuer swung from a loss in fiscal 2024 to a profit in fiscal 2025, and revenue has grown, but recent profit fell even as revenue rose. At $25.22, near the top of its 52-week range, the note looks fairly priced rather than clearly cheap.
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Data as of 2026-10-16 close · note generated 2026-10-20 · model deepseek-flash
Sources (SEC EDGAR): fiscal Q2 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-06-30) · fiscal Q1 2026 10-Q (period ended 2026-03-31) · fiscal Q3 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-09-30) · fiscal Q2 2025 10-Q (period ended 2025-06-30) · FY2025 10-K (period ended 2025-12-31) · FY2024 10-K (period ended 2024-12-31) · FY2023 10-K (period ended 2023-12-31)
Fundamentals from company filings and market-data providers; prices are end-of-day, not real-time. AI-generated analysis is general and educational — not personal investment advice. Scoring methodology · Score test · Disclaimer