Altman Z-Score Distress Zone Hits Indian Lenders
LICI and seven PSU banks sit below the 1.8 Z-Score threshold, yet single-digit P/E ratios create a contrarian setup.
risk alert · 5 October 2026 · 4 min read
The Altman Z-Score for [Life Insurance Corporation of India](/stock/LICI) (NSE: LICI) is 1.42, below the 1.8 threshold, according to a FairStock.ai screen of NSE financials. Seven public sector banks register scores below 1.8 in the same screen. The names are [Central Bank of India](/stock/CENTRALBK) (NSE: CENTRALBK), [Canara Bank](/stock/CANBK) (NSE: CANBK), [Bank of Baroda](/stock/BANKBARODA) (NSE: BANKBARODA), [Punjab National Bank](/stock/PNB) (NSE: PNB), [Bank of India](/stock/BANKINDIA) (NSE: BANKINDIA), [UCO Bank](/stock/UCOBANK) (NSE: UCOBANK), and [Union Bank of India](/stock/UNIONBANK) (NSE: UNIONBANK).
That reading is a solvency flag, not a default verdict. The model combines retained earnings, EBIT to assets, market value of equity to book value of total liabilities, and asset turnover into one score. Below 1.8, the formula says financial stress is possible. For banks and insurers, the formula has a known blind spot. It was built for industrial companies, not deposit-taking institutions. The FairStock.ai screen still applies it to show balance-sheet pressure.
The P/E ratios don't match the distress label. [LICI](/stock/LICI) trades at 4.2 times trailing earnings. [Canara Bank](/stock/CANBK) trades at 6.9 times. [Union Bank of India](/stock/UNIONBANK) sits at 6.8 times. These aren't growth multiples. They're asset-recovery multiples. The market sees something the income statement does not show immediately: the balance sheet carries risk that can surface later.
What the screen shows
[Central Bank of India](/stock/CENTRALBK) prints a Z-Score of 1.31. [UCO Bank](/stock/UCOBANK) is 1.22. [Bank of India](/stock/BANKINDIA) reads 1.29. [Punjab National Bank](/stock/PNB) comes in at 1.38. [Canara Bank](/stock/CANBK) is 1.44. [Union Bank of India](/stock/UNIONBANK) reads 1.55. [Bank of Baroda](/stock/BANKBARODA) is 1.61.
LICI has a FairStock Score of 71. Canara Bank has 68. Union Bank has 66. The screen's message is not that these companies are worthless. It ...
AI-generated market intelligence. Not investment advice.